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Ending child poverty in Australia

 — Organisation: The Australia Institute — 

Poverty has long-lasting and insidious impacts on a child’s health and well-being and can affect their schooling and employment opportunities throughout their entire lifetime. Given that the low rate of income support payments keeps many families in poverty, reducing child poverty is not inherently complicated. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the Australian Government managed to lift 650,000 Australians, including children, out of poverty overnight by supplementing existing income support payments.

The Australia Institute recently conducted polling to determine community attitudes towards child poverty in Australia. This polling found that respondents were overwhelmingly supportive of government measures to reduce child poverty, including:

Deciphering the Disinflation Process

 — Organisation: Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Publication: Liberty Street Economics — 

The Growing Risk of Spillovers and Spillbacks in the Bank‑NBFI Nexus

 — Organisation: Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Publication: Liberty Street Economics — 

Banks and Nonbanks Are Not Separate, but Interwoven

 — Organisation: Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Publication: Liberty Street Economics — 

Nonbanks Are Growing but Their Growth Is Heavily Supported by Banks

 — Organisation: Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Publication: Liberty Street Economics — 

Traditional approaches to financial sector regulation view banks and nonbank financial institutions (NBFIs) as substitutes, one inside and the other outside the perimeter of prudential regulation, with the growth of one implying the shrinking of the other. In this post, we argue instead that banks and NBFIs are better described as intimately interconnected, with NBFIs being especially dependent on banks both for term loans and lines of credit.

Are NBFIs Separate from Banks?

The chart below documents the rapid and relentless growth of NBFIs as their assets have outgrown those of banks, especially in the most recent decade.

The New York Fed DSGE Model Forecast—June 2024

 — Organisation: Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Publication: Liberty Street Economics — 

Thinking of Pursuing a PhD in Economics? Info on Graduate School and Beyond

 — Organisation: Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Publication: Liberty Street Economics — 

Can Discount Window Stigma Be Cured? 

 — Organisation: Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Publication: Liberty Street Economics — 

One of the core responsibilities of central banks is to act as “lender of last resort” to the financial system. In the U.S., the Federal Reserve has been operating as a lender of last resort through its “discount window” (DW) for more than a century. Historically, however, the DW has been plagued by stigma—banks’ reluctance to use the DW, even for benign reasons, out of concerns that it could be interpreted as a sign of financial weakness. In this post, we report on new research showing that once a DW facility is stigmatized, removing that stigma is difficult.

Taking Stock: Dollar Assets, Gold, and Official Foreign Exchange Reserves

 — Organisation: Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Publication: Liberty Street Economics — 

Editor’s note: Since this post was first published, the note on the final chart has been corrected to reflect that, as depicted, gold shares are calculated based on national valuation (June 3, 2024, 9:00 am), and the text has been edited to clarify where the analysis refers to the authors’ sample (June 12, 2024, 1:29 pm).

Do Exchange‑Traded Products Improve Bitcoin Trading? 

 — Organisation: Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Publication: Liberty Street Economics — 

Veterans in the Labor Market: 2024 Update

 — Organisation: Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Publication: Liberty Street Economics — 

The Changing Landscape of Corporate Credit

 — Organisation: Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Publication: Liberty Street Economics — 

Firms’ access to credit is a crucial determinant of their investment, employment, and overall growth decisions. While we usually think of their ability to borrow as determined by aggregate credit conditions, in reality firms have a number of markets where they can borrow, and conditions can vary across those markets. In this post, we investigate how the composition of debt instruments on U.S. firms’ balance sheets has evolved over the last twenty years. 

Supply Chain Disruptions Have Eased, But Remain a Concern 

 — Organisation: Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Publication: Liberty Street Economics — 

Is the Recent Inflationary Spike a Global Phenomenon?  

 — Organisation: Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Publication: Liberty Street Economics — 

Do Unexpected Inflationary Shocks Raise Workers’ Wages?

 — Organisation: Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Publication: Liberty Street Economics — 

Delinquency Is Increasingly in the Cards for Maxed‑Out Borrowers

 — Organisation: Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Publication: Liberty Street Economics — 

Editor’s note: Since this post was first published, the aggregate credit card utilization rate cited in the second paragraph has been corrected. (May 14, 12:05pm). The percentage of Gen Z credit card users who are “maxed-out” has been corrected in the text and now matches the table. (May 15, 2024, 4:00 pm)

Who Is Borrowing and Lending in the Eurodollar and Selected Deposit Markets?

 — Organisation: Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Publication: Liberty Street Economics — 

A recent Liberty Street Economics post discussed who is borrowing and lending in the federal funds (fed funds) market. This post explores activity in two other markets for short-term bank liabilities that are often perceived as close substitutes for fed funds—the markets for Eurodollars and “selected deposits.” 

The Post‑Pandemic Shift in Retirement Expectations in the U.S.

 — Organisation: Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Publication: Liberty Street Economics — 

One of the most striking features of the labor market recovery following the pandemic recession has been the surge in quits from 2021 to mid-2023. This surge, often referred to as the Great Resignation, or the Great Reshuffle, was uncommonly large for an economic expansion. In this post, we call attention to a related labor market change that has not been previously highlighted—a persistent change in retirement expectations, with workers reporting much lower expectations of working full-time beyond ages 62 and 67. This decline is particularly notable for female workers and lower-income workers.

How Are They Now? A Checkup on Homeowners Who Experienced Foreclosure

 — Organisation: Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Publication: Liberty Street Economics — 

Many Places Still Have Not Recovered from the Pandemic Recession

 — Organisation: Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Publication: Liberty Street Economics — 

Mortgage Rate Lock‑In and Homeowners’ Moving Plans

 — Organisation: Federal Reserve Bank of New York — Publication: Liberty Street Economics — 

Don’t listen to this podcast

 — Organisation: The Australia Institute — 

Who will benefit most from the Coalition’s new nuclear energy plan? And why does the media fall into the trap of covering it like genuine policy? On this episode of Follow the Money, the Australia Institute’s Dr Matt Ryan and Rod Campbell discuss the Coalition’s nuclear announcement and the cost of Australia’s failure to decarbonise.

This discussion was recorded on Tuesday 25 June 2024 and things may have changed since recording.

Guest: Matt Ryan, Postdoctoral Research Fellow, the Australia Institute // @mattdjryan

Guest: Roderick Campbell, Research Director, the Australia Institute // @R_o_d_C

Host: Ebony Bennett, Deputy Director, the Australia Institute // @ebony_bennett

Theme music: Pulse and Thrum; additional music by Blue Dot Sessions

Polling – Prosecution of Assange

 — Organisation: The Australia Institute — 

The Australia Institute surveyed a nationally representative sample of 1,005 Australians about the prosecution of Julian Assange.

Respondents were asked if they think the Federal Government is doing too much or too little to secure the release of Australian citizen Julian Assange.

  • One in three Australians (34%) think that the Federal Government is doing too little to secure the release of Julian Assange, the single most popular choice.
  • Australians are more likely to answer “Don’t know / Not sure” (31%) than that the Federal Government is doing the right amount (24%) or too much (11%).
  • Three times as many Australians think the Federal Government is doing too little to secure the release of Assange as think it is doing too much (34% vs 11%).
  • Labor voters are as likely as Australians overall to think that the Federal Government is doing too little to secure the release of Assange (33% vs 34%).
  • The single most popular response among Labor, Coalition, Greens and One Nation voters is that the Federal Government is doing too little.

The post Polling – Prosecution of Assange appeared first on The Australia Institute.

What Assange means for the AUS/US relationship – Dr Emma Shortis on ABC News | Video

 — Organisation: The Australia Institute — 

“To have that message then sitting alongside the pursuit of an Australian publisher for the publication of information that embarrassed the United States, really became irreconcilable and I think exposed some of the hypocrisy of that relationship and of the United States in particular.”

– International & Security Affairs Senior Researcher Dr Emma Shortis

The post What Assange means for the AUS/US relationship – Dr Emma Shortis on ABC News | Video appeared first on The Australia Institute.

The Origins of Trumpism and the Birth of the Present

 — Author: Thomas Zimmer — 

New Feature on Democracy Americana: Article Voiceovers

 — Author: Thomas Zimmer — 

Hey everyone, just a quick note to alert you to a new feature on Democracy Americana: An article voiceover – an audio version of the newsletter.

I am posting the first voiceover, for my latest piece on “The Right’s Politics of Revenge,” here and I have also added it to the essay itself. You’ll find the recording of me reading the piece at the top of the post. You can just click on it and either play it on the web or in the Substack app, if you are using that. No need to download or install anything.

Thanks for reading Democracy Americana! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.

The Right’s Politics of Revenge

 — Author: Thomas Zimmer — 

Majority support for Assange’s release and return home

 — Organisation: The Australia Institute — 

The Australia Institute conducted a national poll of 1,005 people, between 21 May to 23 May 2024, about the United States’ prosecution of Australian publisher and founder of Wikileaks Julian Assange, currently imprisoned and facing extradition to the United States.

Key Findings

The “Originalist” Supreme Court vs Democracy

 — Author: Thomas Zimmer — 

The Anti-Liberal Left Has a Fascism Problem

 — Author: Thomas Zimmer — 

Fascism in America?

 — Author: Thomas Zimmer — 

The Students Have Never Been the Enemy

 — Author: Thomas Zimmer — 

America’s Elites Fear the Ghost of 1968

 — Author: Thomas Zimmer — 

Student Revolt and the Curtailing of Critical Speech

 — Author: Thomas Zimmer — 

Anti-Anti-Trump Conservatives Are Paving the Way for Authoritarianism

 — Author: Thomas Zimmer — 

What Makes “Project 2025” So Dangerous

 — Author: Thomas Zimmer — 

What Does “Defend Democracy” Actually Mean?

 — Author: Thomas Zimmer — 

The Much Vaunted Guardrails Are Failing

 — Author: Thomas Zimmer — 

What “Project 2025” Would Do to America

 — Author: Thomas Zimmer — 

“Project 2025” Promises Revenge, Oppression, and Autocratic Rule

 — Author: Thomas Zimmer — 

What the “Biden Too Old” Discourse Is Really About

 — Author: Thomas Zimmer — 

Domination or Dissolution, Rule or Ruin

 — Author: Thomas Zimmer — 

The Texas Border Standoff Is an Acute Crisis with Terrifying Implications

 — Author: Thomas Zimmer — 

MLK’s Legacy and the Quest for a Racial Reckoning

 — Author: Thomas Zimmer — 

January 6 in History

 — Author: Thomas Zimmer — 

Submission: Statutory Review of the Online Safety Act

 — Organisation: Digital Rights Watch — 

The Online Safety Act commenced in January 2022. It provides broad powers to the online safety regulator, the eSafety Commissioner.

In November 2023, the Minister for Communications the Hon Michelle Rowland MP announced a statutory review into the operation of the Act.

Digital Rights Watch has actively participated throughout the development of the Online Safety Act and its related parts, such as the Basic Online Safety Expectations and the online safety industry standards.

As always, we emphasise that privacy and digital security are essential to uphold safety.

Our recent submissions relevant to online safety in Australia include:

The Minerals Council REALLY wants you to feel good about coal: Spin Bin | Video

 — Organisation: The Australia Institute — 

Climate & Energy Director Polly Hemming and Research Director Rod Campbell are here to unpack the spin, and give you the facts.

The post The Minerals Council REALLY wants you to feel good about coal: Spin Bin | Video appeared first on The Australia Institute.

Dutton’s Gone Fission | Between the Lines

 — Organisation: The Australia Institute — 

The Wrap with Ebony Bennett

This week, Peter Dutton finally released the Coalition’s nuclear power strategy.

Well, sort of…

The Opposition Leader’s uncosted ‘plan’ offers very little detail, while committing Australia to the most expensive form of new energy to build and eschewing cheap and abundant renewables.

When they were last in office, the Coalition had trouble building all the car parks that they promised, so the idea that seven nuclear plants are going to be built from scratch – in a country with next-to-no existing nuclear workforce – is very hard to believe.

Webinar: Stop passing the buck -Workers’ compensation and ‘gig’ workers

 — Organisation: The Australia Institute — 

Workers’ compensation and rehabilitation are amongst the most important legal issues facing the ‘gig’ economy. This reflects the potential vulnerability of these workers and their families, co-workers, and community to harsh and long term consequences from injuries. For a while, it looked like federal industrial policy might ‘solve’ the workers compensation problem by redefining ‘gig’/platform workers as employees.

However, the policy decision to enshrine minimum rights for a separate ‘employee-like’ category of workers leaves gig workers outside the scope of workers compensation protections.

In this discussion we will hear from those researching and advising on the reforms necessary to better protect injured gig workers, a worker who has been seriously injured, and those who are organising and advocating for policy and law reform.

Free Event – Register Now

Speakers:

  • Michael Kaine – National Secretary Transport Workers’ Union
  • Professor Emeritus David Peetz – Carmichael Centre’s Laurie Carmichael Distinguished Research Fellow.

When:
Thursday, July 18, 2024 at 12:30 pm AEST

Where:
Zoom

Polling – Willingness to pay for nuclear

 — Organisation: The Australia Institute — 

The results show that most Australians are not prepared to pay anything extra to have nuclear power in the mix.

Key Findings

  • Two in three Australians (65%) are not prepared to pay anything extra to have nuclear power in the mix.
  • Only one in 20 Australians (4%) are prepared to pay more than $500 per year to have nuclear power in the mix.
  • One in five Australians (19%) are prepared to pay up to $250 (13%) or up to $500 per year (6%) to have nuclear power in the mix.
  • Across the four large states, between 61% and 69% of residents are not prepared to pay anything extra to have nuclear power in the mix.
  • Most Australians are not prepared to pay anything extra to have nuclear power in the mix, regardless of voting intention.

The post Polling – Willingness to pay for nuclear appeared first on The Australia Institute.