Looking forward to the 2026 midterm elections from a year or two out, Republicans faced a favorable Senate map and seemingly realistic prospects for gains in that chamber. Georgia and Michigan, both of which President Trump had carried in 2024, presented possible pickup opportunities, especially after Michigan Democrat Gary Peters announced in January 2025 that he wouldn’t be seeking reelection. Meanwhile, no Republican seat looked overly challenging to defend. The only one the GOP would need to hold in a state Trump had lost was in Maine, where Susan Collins had already triumphed five times since Republicans last carried the state in a presidential race. With a 53-47 Senate majority and this favorable map, Republican control of the Senate looked quite secure for the duration of Trump’s second term, with a chance to increase that margin.







