This fits with my understanding of what's happened to the Drupal community since D8:
Over my years working in the Drupal ecosystem, I've come to visualize its sustainability as a four-level pyramid structure. This isn't an official model, but rather a mental framework I've developed to understand the dynamics at play.
At the base of this pyramid, we find hobbyists, personal sites, and small businesses that would otherwise use platforms like Wix. Moving up a level, we encounter growing small business implementations and more complex small projects. The third level encompasses medium-sized projects and agencies, while the top tier consists of enterprise implementations with complex requirements and larger budgets.
This structure isn't just theoretical—it's vital for sustained growth. The broad base creates entry points for new developers and users while generating widespread adoption and brand recognition. It establishes natural growth pathways as projects evolve, cultivates innovation through diverse use cases, and provides a talent pipeline for the entire ecosystem.
When this pyramid is balanced, the ecosystem thrives. New users and developers enter at the base level, projects grow in complexity and move up through each level of the pyramid, and talent develops alongside these evolving needs. The entire structure becomes self-reinforcing, with each level feeding into the next.
The significant turning point in Drupal's evolution came with the shift from Drupal 7 to Drupal 8, which introduced more advanced code practices and architectural requirements. This modernization brought powerful capabilities to enterprise users but simultaneously raised barriers for newcomers. As we continued to evolve through versions 9 and 10, the pyramid shrank even more, with fewer newcomers entering the ecosystem and the base continuing to narrow.
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What we've experienced is a top-heavy pyramid—strong at the enterprise level but with an increasingly narrow base. This imbalance threatens long-term sustainability because it limits the influx of new talent, reduces community diversity, and creates fewer pathways for growth.